More Wembley woe for Spurs

At 6/1, CSKA Moscow look worth backing to add to Spurs' Wembley woes, says our Andy Schooler, who has previewed Wednesday's Champions League action.

Things have not gone well at Wembley for Spurs
Things have not gone well at Wembley for Spurs

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1pt CSKA Moscow to beat Tottenham

The oft-heard debate about wanting to be in the Europa League or not will rear its head again on Wednesday - and it could prove a good route to profit.

Spurs play host to CSKA Moscow with both sides unable to qualify for the last 16 of the Champions League.

However, a place in the Europa League will be at stake - a point will seal it for Spurs, although whether that's really what they want must be open to question.

The competition has proved a hindrance to the Londoners in the past and having been regulars in it in recent seasons, their players will know the potential disruption it could cause to their top-four Premier League bid.

Eric Lamela remains out injured - he has now been joined by Vincent Janssen  - and with a clash at Manchester United looming on Sunday there looks sure to be plenty of other big names left out or on the bench.

Of course, Spurs do have strength in depth but a much-changed team, coupled with a miserable record at their temporary European home of Wembley, makes them an awful 11/20 shot. Following losses against Monaco and Leverkusen in the group thus far, they have now lost their last six at the national stadium.

In contrast, CSKA look much more likely to take this seriously. They've named a strong squad, containing the likes of Russia internationals Alan Dzagoev and Sergey Ignashevich, and Russian sides have paid much more respect to the Europa League in recent years than English ones.

Beaten 1-0 in the reverse fixture, it is interesting to note that the defeat came during a ropey run of just one win in nine. This time they arrive at Wembley unbeaten in six and while the majority of those games have come at home, it is noteworthy that they have drawn already in Leverkusen in this competition.

While CSKA's form looks fairly decent, it's harder to say that about Spurs, who have won just two of their last 11. Some will point out that Saturday's 5-0 demolition of Swansea will have helped put things right but I'd argue that thrashing the Premier League's worst team in familiar surroundings isn't exactly an acid test.

Tottenham have actually lost five of their last eight and, given the circumstances, 6/1 about that statistic worsening looks worth a small play.

Away from Wembley, Leicester head to Porto with very little to play for. They've already won Group G following their matchday five win, after which boss Claudio Ranieri was immediately talking about shifting the focus the Premier League where his side's poor form means the champions sit just two points above the drop zone.

With the need for a domestic upturn great and a clash with Manchester City at the weekend, the Foxes will surely be changing their side big time here and with Porto needing a victory to ensure they reach the knockout stages, this looks a home banker.

Unfortunately the bookies are all over this with the hosts in from 8/15 to 4/11 since the match was initially priced up.

Porto will make it into plenty of accas, although on a night with so little at stake across the eight games, that's not a bet I'll be putting together.

For those desperate to bet on the game, you can boost the Porto price to even money by backing them to win to nil. Given they have kept five consecutive clean sheets, this looks a more reasonable play.

Group H looks the most interesting with Lyon and Sevilla going head-to-head in France for the final qualification berth and Juventus looking to nail down top spot by beating Dinamo Zagreb.

Lyon need a two-goal win to progress and you can get a tempting 13/2 that they obtain such a result. Still, with Sevilla having scored in every game since mid-September it may well take three goals for the hosts to prevail on this front.

Finally, Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund is a game which will attract plenty of interest and many will be tempted by the 10/11 on offer about a home win - that's not a price you get too often about a victory at the Bernabeu for the reigning champions.

Motivation is high too for the hosts, who were held 2-2 by the Germans when they met back in September. Victory will see them win the group (any other result will see Dortmund finish first) while they are also bidding to stretch their unbeaten run to a club record 34 games.

I wouldn't put anyone off the 10/11 but a way of more than doubling that price could be by getting with the hosts to win with both teams scoring.

Eleven of Real's 15 wins this season have come that way and with the attacking talent at Dortmund's disposal - think Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Marco Reus et al - this looks very plausible.

Posted at 1645 GMT on 06/12/16.

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